夏热冬冷地区居住建筑空调能耗预测
Energy consumption forecast for air conditioning systems in residential buildings in hot summer and cold winter areas
摘要：
对夏热冬冷地区与居住建筑空调能耗相关的社会发展情景，包括人口总量、城市化率、家庭结构模式等进行了预测。根据预测的情况，建立了不同家庭结构模式的户数分布矩阵和空调电耗矩阵。通过矩阵计算，预测了在未来的几十年里，不采取节能措施条件下夏热冬冷地区城市居住建筑的空调电耗。
关键词：居住建筑 空调 能耗 家庭结构模式 预测 矩阵
Abstract：
Forecasts the society developing scenery relating to the energy consumption of the air conditioning systems, including population number, urbanization rate, family structure modes etc. According to the forecast, constructs the number distribution matrix for different family structure modes and the power consumption matrix of the air conditioning systems. Through calculation, forecasts the power consumption of the air conditioning systems without energy saving measures in urban residential buildings in hot summer and cold winter areas in future few decades.
Keywords:residential building, air conditioning, energy consumption, family structure mode, forecast, matrix