建筑能耗分析用逐时降雨模型（2）：月降水量随机模拟
Hourly rainfall model for building energy simulation (2): stochastic simulation of monthly rainfall
摘要：
在计算与分析广州地区33年实测月降水量序列统计参数的基础上，将月降水量序列进行对数变换，采用一阶AR（P）模型建立了月降水量随机模拟模型。通过与实测结果的比较检验了该模型的适用性。
关键词：月降水量 随机模拟 AR（P）模型 对数变换
Abstract：
On the basis of calculation and analysis of statistical parameters of measured monthly rainfall sequences of thirty-three years in Guangzhou area, performs logarithmic transformation of the monthly rainfall sequences, and develops a stochastic simulation model of monthly rainfall by the first order AR(P) model. Validates the model through the comparison with measured data.
Keywords:monthly rainfall, stochastic simulation, AR(P) model, logarithmic transformation