任意小区或建筑供暖期煤耗的预测公式及其应用
Prediction formula of coal consumption for an optional residential area or a building during heating period and its applications
摘要：
利用特征温度法对青岛某小区12幢有详细建筑图的建筑供暖期逐时煤耗进行了模拟研究，以此为样本回归得出了包括各主要参数的煤耗预测公式并用以预测了“三北”地区主要供暖城市的煤耗指标，结合调研结果分析了青岛某供暖小区供暖期实际煤耗与预测值存在偏差的原因，讨论了该小区某幢建筑内不同户型供暖煤耗的相对大小。
Abstract：
Simulates the hourly coal consumption of 12 buildings with detailed drawings during the heating period in Qingdao using the characteristic temperature method, and obtains a prediction formula of coal consumption including various key parameters using the simulation results as samples of regression. Based on the formula, predicts the coal consumption index of the main heating cities in the north of China. With the aid of the survey results, analyses the causes for the deviation between the predicted and the actual values of the residential quarter during heating period in Qingdao. Discusses the relative value relation among the heating coal consumption of various types of houses with different locations within a building in the quarter.
Keywords:heating coal consumption, central heating, prediction formula, simulation, regression