上海市民用建筑空调能源需求与环境负荷的系统动力学分析
System dynamics analysis on energy and environment demands of air conditioning in civil buildings in Shanghai
摘要：
鉴于目前关于建筑能耗未来发展态势的预测很多而结论不一的现象，运用系统动力学原理与方法建立了民用建筑空调能源需求与环境负荷的计算模型，并结合情景分析的方法，以上海为例，计算了3种不同情景下上海市民用建筑空调的能源需求与环境负荷。
关键词：民用建筑 空调 能源需求 环境负荷 系统动力学 情景分析
Abstract：
In view of lots of future building energy consumption forecast leading to diverged conclusions, develops a calculation model of energy and environment demands of air conditioning in civil buildings by system dynamics theory and methodology. Combining with a scenario analysis method, analyses the energy and environment demands of air conditioning in Shanghai civil buildings in three scenes.
Keywords:civil building, air conditioning, energy demand, environment load, system dynamics, scenario analysis