基于能流-碳流过程的太阳能光热光伏系统长期运行性能评价方法研究
Research on long-term operation performance evaluation method for solarthermal photovoltaic systems based on energy-carbon flow process
摘要:
针对太阳能光热光伏系统现有评价方法存在基于实际测试的“后评价”方法评价周期长、基于模拟仿真的“预评价”方法与实际结果偏差大的难题,本文基于能流-碳流过程研究了太阳能光热光伏系统在典型工况下的年平均性能,提出了不同气象条件下的运行性能修正方法,并在此基础上构建了一套以节点年平均降碳率、碳产率、碳锁定率为核心指标的碳减排评价方案。为验证修正方法与碳减排评价方案的有效性,将随机抽取经修正的节点年平均降碳量、碳锁定量分别与其年平均仿真值进行对比,结果显示,产能端年平均降碳量的修正值与仿真值偏差百分比绝对值不超过10%,蓄热水箱年平均碳锁定量的修正值与仿真值偏差百分比绝对值不超过5%。本研究为快速评价太阳能光热光伏系统长期运行性能提供了简便方法。
Abstract:
Addressing the long evaluation period of “post-evaluation” based on actual tests and the large deviation of simulation-based “pre-evaluation” from actual results in current solar thermal photovoltaic system evaluation methods, this paper investigates the average annual performance of solar thermal photovoltaic systems under typical operating conditions based on the energy-carbon flow process, proposes a method to adjust the operation performance under different meteorological conditions, and establishes an evaluation scheme for carbon reduction based on the average annual carbon reduction rate, carbon production rate and carbon lock-in rate of the nodes. To verify the effectiveness of the modification method and the carbon emission reduction evaluation scheme, the annual average modified carbon reduction amount and carbon lock-in amount of the nodes are randomly selected and compared with their annual average simulation values. The results show that the modification values of the annual average carbon reduction amount at the production side have absolute values of deviation percentage that do not exceed 10% compared with the simulation values, and the modification values of the annual average carbon lock-in amount of the storage water tank have deviation percentage absolute values that do not exceed 5% compared with the simulation values. This study provides a simple method for quickly evaluating the long-term operation performance of solar thermal photovoltaic systems.
Keywords:energy-carbon flow process; solar thermal photovoltaic system; long-term operation performance; carbon emission reduction; carbon reduction amount; carbon lock-in amount; evaluation; modification


